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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Kensington Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029017000 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,486 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 9.3/10, tract 36029017000 in the Kensington area of Buffalo, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 8% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,340
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$38,690

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 11 tracts In Kensington
Low
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#23 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Very High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,493 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9255, -78.8296 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kensington scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$980 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How Kensington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kensington risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.3This tracttract 0170007.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kensington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kensington

Cost burden runs 77% here against 44.6% across Erie County. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10.

Food insecurity runs 32.6% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 19.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.4/10.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $980, close to the Buffalo average.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $38,690.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029017000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029017000?

Census tract 36029017000 in the Kensington neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029017000?

Median gross rent is $980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029017000?

18.0% of residents in tract 36029017000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,486.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029017000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 60th, minority 97th, housing 22th.
Q5

Is tract 36029017000 considered part of Kensington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029017000 fall within Kensington (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029017000 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029017000 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029017000 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029017000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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