Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Upper West Side Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029006100 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,755 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 36029006100 covers part of the Upper West Side area of Buffalo, NY, and scores 9.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,755 residents. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.3

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 24% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units1,572

Renter share56.0%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate32.6%

Median income$53,032

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9177, -78.8965 · click any tract to drill in

Why Upper West Side scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Buffalo

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

32.6% poverty · this tract

8.1

Supply constraint

$1,073 rent vs county FMR

4.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Buffalo

7.5

How Upper West Side compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

79%Socioeconomic
96%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
78%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
71%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Upper West Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.2%Housing insecurity
15.6%Utility-shutoff threat
28.4%Food insecurity
27.6%SNAP enrollment
15.0%Transit barriers
11.1%No health insurance
19.2%Frequent mental distress
28.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Upper West Side

It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. Cost burden runs 57% here against 44.6% across Erie County.

The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 8.1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10.

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 27.6% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 23.2% against 14.2% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029006100

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029006100?

Census tract 36029006100 in the Upper West Side neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029006100?

Median gross rent is $1,073/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029006100?

32.6% of residents in tract 36029006100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,755.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029006100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 96th, minority 77th, housing 78th.

Is tract 36029006100 considered part of Upper West Side?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029006100 fall within Upper West Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36029006100 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029006100 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029006100 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36029006100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.