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Neighborhood · Buffalo, NY

Upper West Side Eviction Risk: High

2 census tracts · pop 9,239 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.3/10 · range 9.3–9.3

Upper West Side spans 2 census tracts of Buffalo, NY and houses 9,239 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 9.3/10, in the High tier. Cost burden runs 55% against 31.4% citywide, putting Upper West Side 23.3% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 33%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is economic stress at 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

SNAP participation is 34.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 8/10. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10. That places it #1 of 21 neighborhoods in Buffalo.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.3
High
2 tracts · population-weighted
Upper West Side vs Buffalo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.7% +74%
Buffalo: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,042 0%
Buffalo: $1,046
Average HH income
$43,315 -10%
Buffalo: $48,050
Poverty rate
35.7% +30%
Buffalo: 27.4%
Renter share
65.7% +15%
Buffalo: 57.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Upper West Side and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 9.3–9.3

Why Upper West Side scores 9.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
66% renter households · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
35.7% below poverty line · Range 8.1–9.7 across tracts
8.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.6–4.1 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Upper West Side vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Upper West Side score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.3Upper West SideNeighborhood7.9Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Upper West Side

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36029006100 9.3 4,755 57% $1,073
36029017100 9.3 4,484 52% $1,009
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 91

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 91%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 76%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Upper West Side

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Upper West Side

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Upper West Side?

Upper West Side scores 9.3/10 (High tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Upper West Side compare to Buffalo overall?

Upper West Side scores 1.4 points higher than Buffalo overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,042 vs $1,046.
Q3

What is the average rent in Upper West Side?

Average gross rent in Upper West Side is $1,042/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Upper West Side residents are renters?

66% of Upper West Side households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 9,239 residents.
Q5

Is Upper West Side a high social-vulnerability area?

Upper West Side sits in the 91st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Upper West Side have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Upper West Side is census tract 36029006100 (score 9.3/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.3 to 9.3, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Upper West Side for landlords?

Upper West Side carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Upper West Side?

Upper West Side has 8,964 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (37%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.1%), Hispanic / Latino (25%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Upper West Side

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buffalo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Upper West Side.

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