Lower West Side Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo
Tract 36029007104 · Erie County, NY · pop 3,142 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 36029007104 runs through Lower West Side in Buffalo. With 3,142 residents, it scores 7.4/10 for landlords. It lands near the 98th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is about $806 a month. About 91% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Buffalo and the region
Centroid at 42.8949, -78.8865 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lower West Side scores 9.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Lower West Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 86%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 63%Grade C
- 28%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lower West Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.4%Housing insecurity
- 24.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 45.5%Food insecurity
- 47.9%SNAP enrollment
- 23.0%Transit barriers
- 20.6%No health insurance
- 20.2%Frequent mental distress
- 38.7%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Lower West Side
What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Erie County average of 6.1 and above the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 34.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Part of this tract, about 28% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
About tract 36029007104
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029007104?
What is the average rent in tract 36029007104?
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029007104?
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029007104?
Is tract 36029007104 considered part of Lower West Side?
What share of households in tract 36029007104 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 36029007104 compare to Buffalo overall?
Was tract 36029007104 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo
Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.