Neighborhood · Buffalo, NY

North Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

8 census tracts · pop 30,073 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.4/10 · range 4.4–8.2

North Park is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Buffalo with 8 census tracts and a population of 30,073 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 43% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,053/month sits 1% higher than the Buffalo citywide average ($1,046).

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

8 tracts · population-weighted

North Park vs Buffalo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

42.8% +36%

Buffalo: 31.4%

Average gross rent

$1,053 +1%

Buffalo: $1,046

Average HH income

$78,762 +64%

Buffalo: $48,050

Poverty rate

14.2% -48%

Buffalo: 27.4%

Renter share

43.7% -23%

Buffalo: 57.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 4.4–8.2

Why North Park scores 6.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.2–8.0 across tracts

7.2

Rent control risk

43% of income on rent · Range 5.9–7.5 across tracts

7.2

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–8.0 across tracts

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

44% renter households · Range 2.5–7.5 across tracts

6.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 4.1–7.5 across tracts

6.6

Economic stress

14.2% below poverty line · Range 1.4–6.2 across tracts

3.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–7.8 across tracts

4.1

Risk score comparison

North Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in North Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3.8 points from 4.4 to 8.2. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

8.2 7.7 7.6 7.0 6.7 5.4 5.2 4.4

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

8 tracts in North Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
36029005000	8.2	2,326	55%	$955
36029005100	7.7	4,900	42%	$981
36029004901	7.6	1,508	55%	$1,500
36029004902	7	4,255	34%	$1,292
36029004800	6.7	4,365	40%	$1,248
36029008002	5.4	5,569	47%	$998
36029008600	5.2	4,691	47%	$1,001
36029008500	4.4	2,459	27%	$485

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 26%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 43%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.9%Housing insecurity
7.1%Utility shutoff threat
11.3%Food insecurity
10.5%SNAP enrollment
5.0%No health insurance
21.6%Any disability

Frequently asked

About North Park

What is the eviction-risk score for North Park?

North Park scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does North Park compare to Buffalo overall?

North Park scores 3.0 points lower than Buffalo overall (9.4/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,053 vs $1,046.

What is the average rent in North Park?

Average gross rent in North Park is $1,053/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of North Park residents are renters?

44% of North Park households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 30,073 residents.

Is North Park a high social-vulnerability area?

North Park sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in North Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in North Park is census tract 36029005000 (score 8.2/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 8.2, a spread of 3.8 points.

How safe is North Park for landlords?

North Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.4/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (9.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of North Park?

North Park has 29,380 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.5%), Hispanic / Latino (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North Park

7.6 Central Park 2 tracts · pop 8,913 7.8 Parkside 6 tracts · pop 17,694 7.3 University Heights 5 tracts · pop 19,286 6.9 Elmwood Village 7 tracts · pop 20,864 7.6 Kensington 11 tracts · pop 41,070 9 Upper West Side 2 tracts · pop 9,239

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buffalo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North Park.

6.5 South Buffalo 1 tracts · pop 4,418 7 Elmwood Village 7 tracts · pop 20,864 7.1 University Heights 5 tracts · pop 19,286 7.2 Central Park 2 tracts · pop 8,913 7.2 Kaisertown 9 tracts · pop 29,760 7.5 Kensington 11 tracts · pop 41,070

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