Skip to content
Neighborhood · Buffalo, NY

North Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

8 census tracts · pop 30,073 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.3/10 · range 5.6–9.3

North Park spans 8 census tracts of Buffalo, NY, population 30,073. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Scores across the 8 constituent tracts range from 5.6 to 9.3. A 3.7-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Against a Buffalo baseline of 31.4%, 43% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The dominant input is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10. 5.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

Among the 21 mapped neighborhoods of Buffalo, it ranks #21 by risk, the lower third. The closest comparables inside the same city are South Buffalo and University Heights. Against average income of $78,762, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion.

Average gross rent runs $1,053, close to the Buffalo average. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.3 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
8 tracts · population-weighted
North Park vs Buffalo How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
42.8% +36%
Buffalo: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,053 +1%
Buffalo: $1,046
Average HH income
$78,762 +64%
Buffalo: $48,050
Poverty rate
14.2% -48%
Buffalo: 27.4%
Renter share
43.7% -23%
Buffalo: 57.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across North Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 5.6–9.3

Why North Park scores 7.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–8.0 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
43% of income on rent · Range 5.9–7.5 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–8.0 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
44% renter households · Range 2.5–7.5 across tracts
6.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.1–7.5 across tracts
6.6
Economic stress
14.2% below poverty line · Range 1.4–6.2 across tracts
3.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–7.8 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

North Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

North Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.3North ParkNeighborhood7.9Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in North Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 3.7 points from 5.6 to 9.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in North Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36029005000 9.3 2,326 55% $955
36029005100 8.8 4,900 42% $981
36029004901 8.7 1,508 55% $1,500
36029004902 7.8 4,255 34% $1,292
36029004800 7.4 4,365 40% $1,248
36029008600 6.7 4,691 47% $1,001
36029008002 5.6 5,569 47% $998
36029008500 5.6 2,459 27% $485
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 28

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 26%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in North Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About North Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for North Park?

North Park scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does North Park compare to Buffalo overall?

North Park scores 0.6 points lower than Buffalo overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,053 vs $1,046.
Q3

What is the average rent in North Park?

Average gross rent in North Park is $1,053/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of North Park residents are renters?

44% of North Park households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Buffalo). The neighborhood has 30,073 residents.
Q5

Is North Park a high social-vulnerability area?

North Park sits in the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in North Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in North Park is census tract 36029005000 (score 9.3/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 9.3, a spread of 3.7 points.
Q7

How safe is North Park for landlords?

North Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.3/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Buffalo as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of North Park?

North Park has 29,380 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (76.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.5%), Hispanic / Latino (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near North Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Buffalo

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to North Park.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further