Lower West Side Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Food insecurity runs 43.6% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 47.2% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 60%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Erie County average of 44.6%.

This is renter territory: 98% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 2.5 points above the Erie County average of 6.8.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $32,669, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side, local political climate reads 8/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

At $913 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Buffalo commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.