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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

East Side Eviction Risk: High , Buffalo

Tract 36029003400 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,828 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 36029003400 covers part of the East Side area of Buffalo, NY, and scores 9.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,828 residents. SNAP participation runs 37.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 25% Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,373
Renter share56.6%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$48,294

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In East Side
Moderate
Within parent city
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#44 of 91 tracts In Buffalo
Moderate
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 260 tracts In Erie County
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#1,493 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9176, -78.8338 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Side scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,069 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
7.5

How East Side compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Side risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.3This tracttract 0034007.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within East Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Side

Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Cost burden runs 56% here against 44.6% across Erie County. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 20.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029003400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029003400?

Census tract 36029003400 in the East Side neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029003400?

Median gross rent is $1,069/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029003400?

20.4% of residents in tract 36029003400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,828.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029003400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 70th, minority 93th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 36029003400 considered part of East Side?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029003400 fall within East Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029003400 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029003400 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029003400 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029003400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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