Barnard Eviction Risk: Elevated , Rochester

The score leans hardest on state political climate at 7.3/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 7.3/10.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rochester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 5.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.

It tracks the Monroe County average of 7.2 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,394 a month.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $73,667.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.