Barnard Eviction Risk: Elevated , Rochester

Cost burden runs 65% here against 46.4% across Monroe County. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.8/10.

On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Against the Monroe County average of 7.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.3/10. The voucher gap is 13.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rochester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.