Barnard Eviction Risk: High , Rochester

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.1/10. Against the Monroe County average of 7.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 7.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 11%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rochester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Average gross rent is $1,019, close to the Rochester average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $56,722.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.