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Neighborhood · Rochester, NY

Barnard Eviction Risk: Elevated

5 census tracts · pop 23,287 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.5/10 · range 6.2–8.7

Barnard takes in 5 census tracts of Rochester, NY, population 23,287. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.5/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 52% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Rochester rate of 32.0%.

The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.2 to 8.7, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10. The poverty rate is 16%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,227 a month, rents sit 14% over what the rest of Rochester commands.

That places it #36 of 36 neighborhoods in Rochester. The closest comparables inside the same city are Convention District and ABC Streets Neighborhood.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $64,332. 37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
5 tracts · population-weighted
Barnard vs Rochester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.9% +62%
Rochester: 32.0%
Average gross rent
$1,227 +14%
Rochester: $1,081
Average HH income
$64,332 +38%
Rochester: $46,628
Poverty rate
16.4% -38%
Rochester: 26.6%
Renter share
37.0% -40%
Rochester: 61.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Barnard and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 6.2–8.7

Why Barnard scores 7.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.3–7.5 across tracts
7.3
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.3 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–7.5 across tracts
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
37% renter households · Range 4.0–7.0 across tracts
4.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–7.0 across tracts
5.4
Economic stress
16.4% below poverty line · Range 1.8–6.6 across tracts
4.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–6.3 across tracts
3.6
Risk score comparison

Barnard vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Barnard score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.5BarnardNeighborhood8.1Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Barnard?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.5 points from 6.2 to 8.7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Barnard

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36055008600 8.7 4,448 64% $1,019
36055013902 7.9 4,451 45% $939
36055014004 7.9 4,128 40% $1,108
36055013800 6.8 5,932 46% $1,394
36055013901 6.2 4,328 65% $1,619
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 61

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 53%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 70%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 57%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Barnard

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Barnard

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Barnard?

Barnard scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Barnard compare to Rochester overall?

Barnard scores 0.6 points lower than Rochester overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $1,227 vs $1,081.
Q3

What is the average rent in Barnard?

Average gross rent in Barnard is $1,227/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Barnard residents are renters?

37% of Barnard households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Rochester). The neighborhood has 23,287 residents.
Q5

Is Barnard a high social-vulnerability area?

Barnard sits in the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Barnard have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Barnard is census tract 36055008600 (score 8.7/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 8.7, a spread of 2.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Barnard for landlords?

Barnard carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.5/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Rochester as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Barnard?

Barnard has 23,023 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.3%), Hispanic / Latino (13.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Barnard

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Rochester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Barnard.

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