Barnard Eviction Risk: Elevated , Rochester

The score leans hardest on state political climate at 7.3/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Cost burden runs 40% here against 46.4% across Monroe County. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.3/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. It sits 0.7 points above the Monroe County average of 7.2. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rochester. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.9/10. Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point.

Average gross rent runs $1,108 a month. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $59,433. 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.