Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Little Italy Eviction Risk: High , Niagara Falls

Tract 36063021200 · Niagara County, NY · pop 2,140 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 8.5/10, tract 36063021200 in the Little Italy area of Niagara Falls, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Niagara County average of 40.9%.

Risk score

8.5

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 26% Owners 37%

Tract context

Occupied units1,074

Renter share63.3%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate30.6%

Median income$37,083

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Niagara Falls and the region

Centroid at 43.0855, -79.0464 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Italy scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Niagara Falls

5.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

30.6% poverty · this tract

7.7

Supply constraint

$602 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Niagara Falls

8.4

How Little Italy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

65%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
20%Grade B
20%Grade C
23%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Italy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.0%Housing insecurity
13.9%Utility-shutoff threat
24.3%Food insecurity
25.2%SNAP enrollment
12.8%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
32.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Italy

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Against the Niagara County average of 6.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.1 points. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $602 a month, rents run 27% under what the rest of Niagara Falls commands. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10.

SNAP participation runs 25.2% against 15.2% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $37,083.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36063021200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36063021200?

Census tract 36063021200 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36063021200?

Median gross rent is $602/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36063021200?

30.6% of residents in tract 36063021200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,140.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36063021200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 55th, minority 46th, housing 86th.

Is tract 36063021200 considered part of Little Italy?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36063021200 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36063021200 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36063021200 compare to Niagara Falls overall?

Tract 36063021200 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Niagara Falls at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36063021200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 23% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niagara Falls

Top eight tracts in Niagara Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.