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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,413 of 84,120 nationally

Little Italy Eviction Risk: High , Niagara Falls

Tract 36063021700 · Niagara County, NY · pop 3,230 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 8.5/10, tract 36063021700 in the Little Italy area of Niagara Falls, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 29% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units1,510
Renter share49.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$47,155

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Little Italy
Very High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 20 tracts In Niagara Falls
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 65 tracts In Niagara County
Very High
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#2,229 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Niagara Falls and the region

Centroid at 43.0792, -79.0210 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Italy scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Niagara Falls
5.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$860 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Niagara Falls
8.4

How Little Italy compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Italy risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.5This tracttract 0217007.1Niagara Fallsparent city6.4Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Italy. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Italy

SNAP participation runs 33.9% against 15.2% nationally. It sits 2.1 points above the Niagara County average of 6.4.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10.

Food insecurity runs 31.6% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36063021700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36063021700?

Census tract 36063021700 in the Little Italy neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36063021700?

Median gross rent is $860/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36063021700?

19.4% of residents in tract 36063021700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,230.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36063021700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 98th, minority 65th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 36063021700 considered part of Little Italy?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36063021700 fall within Little Italy (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36063021700 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36063021700 compare to Niagara Falls overall?

Tract 36063021700 scores 8.5/10, higher than the parent city of Niagara Falls at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Niagara Falls eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36063021700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Niagara Falls

Top eight tracts in Niagara Falls ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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