Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Shore Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 36103147201 · Suffolk County, NY · pop 3,953
36103147201 is a census tract in Bay Shore, NY. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,615
Renter share47.4%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$108,511
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
82
th percentile
High
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
National
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bay Shore and the region
Centroid at 40.7135, -73.2495 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Shore scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bay Shore
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,800 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Shore
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Shore
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Shore
6.4
How Bay Shore compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 17%Household composition
- 57%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.5%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.0%No health insurance
- 13.3%Frequent mental distress
- 23.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Shore
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.2/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10.
Against the Suffolk County average of 6.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,800, 13% below the Bay Shore average. On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.7/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36103147201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36103147201?
Census tract 36103147201 in Bay Shore scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36103147201?
Median gross rent is $1,800/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36103147201?
5.0% of residents in tract 36103147201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,953.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36103147201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 17th, minority 57th, housing 76th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36103147201 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36103147201 compare to Bay Shore overall?
Tract 36103147201 scores 7.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Bay Shore at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Shore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bay Shore
Top eight tracts in Bay Shore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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