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Census Tract · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Asheville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 37021002204 · Buncombe County, NC · pop 9,317 · 78% of tract blocks fall in Asheville

Asheville anchors census tract 37021002204, which lands at 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 53rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,588 a month against an average household income of $74,351 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 37% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units3,959
Renter share63.0%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$74,351

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 31 tracts In Asheville
Low
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#30 of 65 tracts In Buncombe County
Moderate
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#1,266 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Moderate
National
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#44,543 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Asheville and the region

Centroid at 35.4980, -82.5433 · click any tract to drill in

Why Asheville scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Asheville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,588 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Asheville
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Asheville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Asheville
4.0

How Asheville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Asheville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 002204Asheville: 3.43.4Ashevilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 602Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 4.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.0%Peak (2004)
  • 39Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370210022042002: 73 filings (8.71/100 renter HHs)2003: 61 filings (7.27/100 renter HHs)2004: 92 filings (10.97/100 renter HHs)2005: 51 filings (3.90/100 renter HHs)2006: 46 filings (3.52/100 renter HHs)2007: 68 filings (5.20/100 renter HHs)2008: 46 filings (3.52/100 renter HHs)2009: 46 filings (3.52/100 renter HHs)2010: 51 filings (2.12/100 renter HHs)2011: 29 filings (1.21/100 renter HHs)2013: 39 filings (1.62/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Asheville

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Asheville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Buncombe County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37021002204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37021002204?

Census tract 37021002204 in Asheville scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37021002204?

Median gross rent is $1,588/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37021002204?

9.0% of residents in tract 37021002204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,317.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37021002204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 51th, minority 17th, housing 66th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37021002204?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 602 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 37021002204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.69% of renter households, peaking at 11.0% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37021002204 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37021002204 compare to Asheville overall?

Tract 37021002204 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Asheville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Asheville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Asheville

Top eight tracts in Asheville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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