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Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Asheville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37021002305 · Buncombe County, NC · pop 5,570 · 15% of tract blocks fall in Asheville

37021002305 is a census tract in Asheville, NC. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,570 residents. 42% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 17% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,463
Renter share35.3%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$72,166

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 31 tracts In Asheville
Low
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 65 tracts In Buncombe County
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#1,072 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
Elevated
National
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#45,786 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Asheville and the region

Centroid at 35.5074, -82.6558 · click any tract to drill in

Why Asheville scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Asheville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,834 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Asheville
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Asheville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Asheville
4.0

How Asheville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Asheville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0023054.1Ashevilleparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Asheville

Average gross rent is $1,834, 31% above the Asheville average. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 2.3/10. The voucher gap is 21.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.

Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 46.9% across Buncombe County. Housing insecurity runs 7.1% against 14.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Buncombe County average of 4.1 closely. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $72,166. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 37021002305

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37021002305?

Census tract 37021002305 in Asheville scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37021002305?

Median gross rent is $1,834/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37021002305?

12.4% of residents in tract 37021002305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,570.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37021002305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 8th, minority 8th, housing 48th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 37021002305 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 37021002305 compare to Asheville overall?

Tract 37021002305 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Asheville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Asheville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Asheville

Top eight tracts in Asheville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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