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Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051002002 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 5,022

Census tract 37051002002 runs through Fayetteville. With 5,022 residents, it scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It lands near the 42nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,009 a month while the average household earns $54,975 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25% Stable renters 41% Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,071
Renter share66.0%
SVI overall0.87
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$54,975

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#22 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Elevated
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#455 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0505, -78.9629 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,009 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 002002Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,404Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 27.36%Avg annual filing rate
  • 59.1%Peak (2003)
  • 180Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510020022002: 357 filings (51.99/100 renter HHs)2003: 406 filings (59.12/100 renter HHs)2005: 329 filings (34.58/100 renter HHs)2006: 326 filings (34.27/100 renter HHs)2007: 291 filings (30.59/100 renter HHs)2008: 290 filings (30.48/100 renter HHs)2009: 249 filings (26.17/100 renter HHs)2010: 261 filings (20.95/100 renter HHs)2011: 253 filings (19.55/100 renter HHs)2012: 235 filings (18.16/100 renter HHs)2013: 234 filings (18.08/100 renter HHs)2014: 270 filings (20.87/100 renter HHs)2015: 300 filings (23.18/100 renter HHs)2016: 236 filings (19.47/100 renter HHs)2017: 187 filings (15.43/100 renter HHs)2018: 180 filings (14.85/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4,404 eviction filings here over 16 tracked years, with about 27.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 59.1% of renter households in 2003.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051002002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051002002?

Census tract 37051002002 in Fayetteville scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051002002?

Median gross rent is $1,009/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051002002?

20.3% of residents in tract 37051002002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,022.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051002002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 85th, minority 75th, housing 73th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051002002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,404 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051002002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.36% of renter households, peaking at 59.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051002002 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051002002 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051002002 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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