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Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051003203 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 4,629 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Fayetteville

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 37051003203 in Fayetteville ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,629 residents. That is riskier than roughly 56% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,250 monthly, set against $50,292 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 50% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 26% Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,064
Renter share50.5%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$50,292

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#23 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Elevated
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#455 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0268, -78.9798 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,250 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 003203Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,229Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 27.11%Avg annual filing rate
  • 38.8%Peak (2008)
  • 199Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510032032002: 153 filings (20.26/100 renter HHs)2003: 212 filings (28.08/100 renter HHs)2005: 328 filings (34.93/100 renter HHs)2006: 351 filings (37.38/100 renter HHs)2007: 291 filings (30.99/100 renter HHs)2008: 364 filings (38.76/100 renter HHs)2009: 364 filings (38.76/100 renter HHs)2010: 336 filings (34.50/100 renter HHs)2011: 362 filings (35.53/100 renter HHs)2012: 258 filings (25.32/100 renter HHs)2013: 199 filings (19.53/100 renter HHs)2014: 162 filings (15.90/100 renter HHs)2015: 197 filings (19.33/100 renter HHs)2016: 240 filings (20.08/100 renter HHs)2017: 213 filings (17.82/100 renter HHs)2018: 199 filings (16.65/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 30% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051003203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051003203?

Census tract 37051003203 in Fayetteville scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051003203?

Median gross rent is $1,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051003203?

19.5% of residents in tract 37051003203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,629.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051003203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 82th, minority 77th, housing 60th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051003203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,229 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051003203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 27.11% of renter households, peaking at 38.8% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051003203 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051003203 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051003203 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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