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Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Fayetteville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 37051003304 · Cumberland County, NC · pop 7,944

Census tract 37051003304 belongs to Fayetteville, North Carolina. It is home to 7,944 residents and scores 5.1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 42% of US census tracts.

About 34% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,281 a month while the average household earns $61,667 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 35% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units3,160
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$61,667

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 58 tracts In Fayetteville
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 81 tracts In Cumberland County
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#455 of 2,660 tracts In North Carolina
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 35.0922, -78.9809 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fayetteville scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
North Carolina legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,281 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
3.0

How Fayetteville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fayetteville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 003304Fayetteville: 3.03.0Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,912Total filings over 16 yrs
  • 12.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.8%Peak (2002)
  • 155Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 370510033042002: 222 filings (18.80/100 renter HHs)2003: 187 filings (15.83/100 renter HHs)2005: 159 filings (12.34/100 renter HHs)2006: 155 filings (12.02/100 renter HHs)2007: 189 filings (14.66/100 renter HHs)2008: 205 filings (15.90/100 renter HHs)2009: 154 filings (11.95/100 renter HHs)2010: 172 filings (10.64/100 renter HHs)2011: 203 filings (13.01/100 renter HHs)2012: 184 filings (11.79/100 renter HHs)2013: 186 filings (11.92/100 renter HHs)2014: 221 filings (14.17/100 renter HHs)2015: 195 filings (12.50/100 renter HHs)2016: 176 filings (10.98/100 renter HHs)2017: 149 filings (9.30/100 renter HHs)2018: 155 filings (9.67/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 16 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fayetteville

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cumberland County average of 5.4 and in line with the North Carolina statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 37051003304

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 37051003304?

Census tract 37051003304 in Fayetteville scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 37051003304?

Median gross rent is $1,281/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 37051003304?

21.9% of residents in tract 37051003304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,944.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 37051003304?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 80th, minority 81th, housing 36th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 37051003304?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,912 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 37051003304 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.84% of renter households, peaking at 18.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 37051003304 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 37051003304 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 37051003304 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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