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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Longfellow Eviction Risk: Lower , Fargo

Tract 38017000100 · Cass County, ND · pop 5,051 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

38017000100 is a census tract in the Longfellow area of Fargo, ND. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,051 residents. Against Cass County at 36.2%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 2% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,712
Renter share5.2%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate1.4%
Median income$115,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Longfellow
Moderate
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#24 of 30 tracts In Fargo
Low
Within county
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 44 tracts In Cass County
Very Low
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#146 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fargo and the region

Centroid at 46.9136, -96.7714 · click any tract to drill in

Why Longfellow scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
1.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,553 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5

How Longfellow compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Longfellow risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0001003.2Fargoparent city3.5Countyavg tract in county3.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Longfellow

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. At $1,553 a month, rents run 64% over what the rest of Fargo commands. The voucher gap is 53.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

The severe-burden share is 29%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. SNAP participation runs 2.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 4.8% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $115,000, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 38017000100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017000100?

Census tract 38017000100 in the Longfellow neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38017000100?

Median gross rent is $1,553/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38017000100?

1.4% of residents in tract 38017000100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,051.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38017000100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 32th, minority 9th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 38017000100 considered part of Longfellow?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017000100 fall within Longfellow (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38017000100 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38017000100 compare to Fargo overall?

Tract 38017000100 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fargo

Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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