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Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Northport Eviction Risk: Lower , Fargo

Tract 38017000204 · Cass County, ND · pop 3,937 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 2.6/10, tract 38017000204 in Northport in Fargo ranks in the Lower tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,937 residents. That places it near the bottom of the national scale, one of the easier tracts in the country for landlords.

24% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $863 a month while the average household earns $64,460 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 37% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,796
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$64,460

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Northport
Very Low
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 30 tracts In Fargo
Elevated
Within county
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 44 tracts In Cass County
Elevated
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#65 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fargo and the region

Centroid at 46.9186, -96.7927 · click any tract to drill in

Why Northport scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$863 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5

How Northport compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Northport risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 000204Fargo: 1.81.8Fargoparent cityCounty: 3.03.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Northport. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Northport

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 3.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fargo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cass County average of 3.2 and below the North Dakota statewide average of 3.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 38017000204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017000204?

Census tract 38017000204 in the Northport neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 38017000204?

Median gross rent is $863/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 38017000204?

11.6% of residents in tract 38017000204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,937.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 38017000204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 29th, minority 23th, housing 66th.
Q5

Is tract 38017000204 considered part of Northport?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017000204 fall within Northport (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 38017000204 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 38017000204 compare to Fargo overall?

Tract 38017000204 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 1.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fargo

Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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