Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Northport Eviction Risk: Lower , Fargo
Tract 38017000204 ·
Cass County, ND · pop 3,937 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 38017000204 covers part of the Northport area of Fargo, ND, and scores 3.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,937. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%Stable renters 37%Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,796
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$64,460
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Northport
Very Low
Within parent city
62th percentile
#12 of 30 tracts In Fargo
Elevated
Within county
70th percentile
#14 of 44 tracts In Cass County
Elevated
Within state
71th percentile
#66 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fargo and the region
Centroid at 46.9186, -96.7927 · click any tract to drill in
Why Northport scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$863 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
How Northport compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.9%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
9.6%Food insecurity
5.9%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
13.9%Frequent mental distress
24.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Northport
24% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Cass County average of 36.2%. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. At $863 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Fargo commands.
Nationally it ranks #52,479 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $64,460, annual rent is just 16%.
It tracks the Cass County average of 3.5 closely. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 38017000204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017000204?
Census tract 38017000204 in the Northport neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38017000204?
Median gross rent is $863/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38017000204?
11.6% of residents in tract 38017000204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,937.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38017000204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 29th, minority 23th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 38017000204 considered part of Northport?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017000204 fall within Northport (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 38017000204 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 38017000204 compare to Fargo overall?
Tract 38017000204 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fargo
Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.