Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Brunsdale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fargo
Tract 38017001003 ·
Cass County, ND · pop 3,525 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
38017001003 is a census tract in the Brunsdale area of Fargo, ND. It scores 4.6/10 for landlords. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%Stable renters 31%Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,772
Renter share58.0%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate26.7%
Median income$58,041
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Brunsdale
Moderate
Within parent city
79th percentile
#7 of 30 tracts In Fargo
High
Within county
100th percentile
#1 of 44 tracts In Cass County
Very High
Within state
97th percentile
#9 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fargo and the region
Centroid at 46.8415, -96.8122 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brunsdale scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.7% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$794 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
How Brunsdale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
40%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
40%Racial/ethnic minority
66%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.7%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
12.6%Food insecurity
9.0%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
7.2%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
29.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brunsdale
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. 46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cass County average of 36.2%.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.1 points above the Cass County average of 3.5. Average gross rent is $794, 16% below the Fargo average.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10.
Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $58,041, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the ND average is 3.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 38017001003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017001003?
Census tract 38017001003 in the Brunsdale neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38017001003?
Median gross rent is $794/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38017001003?
26.7% of residents in tract 38017001003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,525.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38017001003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 91th, minority 40th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 38017001003 considered part of Brunsdale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017001003 fall within Brunsdale (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 38017001003 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 38017001003 compare to Fargo overall?
Tract 38017001003 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fargo
Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.