Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Bluemont Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Fargo
Tract 38017010308 ·
Cass County, ND · pop 4,505 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Census tract 38017010308 covers part of the Bluemont Lakes area of Fargo, ND, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%Stable renters 29%Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,944
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$78,839
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Bluemont Lakes
Moderate
Within parent city
3th percentile
#29 of 30 tracts In Fargo
Very Low
Within county
9th percentile
#40 of 44 tracts In Cass County
Very Low
Within state
36th percentile
#146 of 228 tracts In North Dakota
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fargo and the region
Centroid at 46.8400, -96.8303 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bluemont Lakes scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fargo
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
North Dakota legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$971 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fargo
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fargo
1.5
How Bluemont Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
20%Socioeconomic
19%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.9%Housing insecurity
4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
5.2%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
5.9%No health insurance
12.7%Frequent mental distress
21.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bluemont Lakes
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $78,839, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 37% of renters.
It tracks the Cass County average of 3.5 closely. Average gross rent is $971, close to the Fargo average.
47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 38017010308
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 38017010308?
Census tract 38017010308 in the Bluemont Lakes neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 38017010308?
Median gross rent is $971/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 38017010308?
2.8% of residents in tract 38017010308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,505.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 38017010308?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 19th, minority 34th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 38017010308 considered part of Bluemont Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 38017010308 fall within Bluemont Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 38017010308 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 38017010308 compare to Fargo overall?
Tract 38017010308 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Fargo at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fargo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fargo
Top eight tracts in Fargo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.