Within parent city
6
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #65,113 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 39017012400 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,788
Census tract 39017012400 covers Middletown, home to 2,788 residents. For landlords it grades 5.2/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 45% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
27% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,250 monthly, set against $91,875 in average yearly household income, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 5% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units996
Renter share5.2%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate2.3%
Median income$91,875
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
National
23
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.5386, -84.3385 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 2.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,250 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 15%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 14%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 43Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2013)
- 1Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.7%Food insecurity
- 7.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.5%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Butler County average of 5.5 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017012400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017012400?
Census tract 39017012400 in Middletown scores 2.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017012400?
Median gross rent is $1,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017012400?
2.3% of residents in tract 39017012400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,788.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017012400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 50th, minority 15th, housing 14th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017012400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 43 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017012400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.50% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39017012400 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39017012400 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017012400 scores 2.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013600
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
39017013400
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Related