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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Rosedale / The Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , Middletown

Tract 39017012500 · Butler County, OH · pop 5,335 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 4.9/10 for census tract 39017012500 reflects conditions in the Rosedale / The Oaks area of Middletown, Ohio. It lands near the 35th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 20% of renter households, a modest level, and 1% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,241 monthly, set against $85,694 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 20% Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units2,030
Renter share24.8%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$85,694

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Rosedale / The Oaks
Very Low
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#16 of 18 tracts In Middletown
Very Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 86 tracts In Butler County
Moderate
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#2,171 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middletown and the region

Centroid at 39.5129, -84.3443 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rosedale / The Oaks scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,241 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1

How Rosedale / The Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rosedale / The Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 012500Middletown: 2.82.8Middletownparent cityCounty: 3.23.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 537Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 11.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.6%Peak (2018)
  • 60Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390170125002006: 43 filings (14.24/100 renter HHs)2007: 52 filings (17.22/100 renter HHs)2008: 59 filings (19.54/100 renter HHs)2009: 27 filings (8.94/100 renter HHs)2010: 42 filings (10.85/100 renter HHs)2011: 44 filings (12.64/100 renter HHs)2012: 27 filings (7.76/100 renter HHs)2013: 24 filings (6.90/100 renter HHs)2014: 42 filings (12.07/100 renter HHs)2015: 42 filings (12.07/100 renter HHs)2016: 36 filings (8.18/100 renter HHs)2017: 39 filings (8.86/100 renter HHs)2018: 60 filings (13.64/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rosedale / The Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rosedale / The Oaks

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Middletown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Butler County average of 5.5 and in line with the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 537 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 11.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.6% of renter households in 2018.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39017012500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017012500?

Census tract 39017012500 in the Rosedale / The Oaks neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39017012500?

Median gross rent is $1,241/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39017012500?

2.1% of residents in tract 39017012500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,335.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39017012500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 47th, minority 30th, housing 19th.
Q5

Is tract 39017012500 considered part of Rosedale / The Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39017012500 fall within Rosedale / The Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017012500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 537 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017012500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.76% of renter households, peaking at 13.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39017012500 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39017012500 compare to Middletown overall?

Tract 39017012500 scores 2.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Middletown at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Middletown

Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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