Within parent city
94
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Middletown Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 39017014100 · Butler County, OH · pop 2,231
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 39017014100 in Middletown, OH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,231 residents. Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units875
Renter share41.5%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate21.8%
Median income$63,025
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middletown and the region
Centroid at 39.4810, -84.3715 · click any tract to drill in
Why Middletown scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Middletown
4.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
21.8% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,227 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Middletown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Middletown
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Middletown
7.1
How Middletown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 88%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 45%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 498Total filings over 13 yrs
- 11.89%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.0%Peak (2017)
- 48Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 26% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.0%Housing insecurity
- 12.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.8%Food insecurity
- 20.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 11.8%No health insurance
- 21.5%Frequent mental distress
- 35.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Middletown
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.8/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Butler County average of 39.6%.
Average gross rent is $1,227, 22% above the Middletown average. It sits 1.3 points above the Butler County average of 4.3.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.4/10. The filing record is not thin: 498 evictions over 13 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2017 at 15.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.9% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 39017014100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39017014100?
Census tract 39017014100 in Middletown scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39017014100?
Median gross rent is $1,227/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39017014100?
21.8% of residents in tract 39017014100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,231.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39017014100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 75th, minority 45th, housing 73th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39017014100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 498 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 39017014100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.89% of renter households, peaking at 15.0% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 39017014100 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39017014100 compare to Middletown overall?
Tract 39017014100 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Middletown at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Middletown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Middletown
Top eight tracts in Middletown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
39017013400
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013500
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017013600
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
39017014000
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Downtown
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
Rosedale / The Oaks
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OH
South Main Street Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related