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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Washington Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elyria

Tract 39093070902 · Lorain County, OH · pop 3,636 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 39093070902 (Washington Village in Elyria, Ohio) comes in at 5.5/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 56th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 40% of renter households, a high level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $869 monthly, set against $48,261 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 52% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 31% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,832
Renter share51.8%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate15.0%
Median income$48,261

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Washington Village
Moderate
Within parent city
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 18 tracts In Elyria
Elevated
Within county
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#25 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Elevated
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#1,022 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elyria and the region

Centroid at 41.3640, -82.1592 · click any tract to drill in

Why Washington Village scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
15.0% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$869 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elyria
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elyria
8.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elyria
6.4

How Washington Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Washington Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 070902Elyria: 2.72.7Elyriaparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 827Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 10.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.1%Peak (2006)
  • 44Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 390930709022002: 83 filings (11.32/100 renter HHs)2003: 94 filings (12.82/100 renter HHs)2004: 102 filings (13.92/100 renter HHs)2005: 80 filings (12.52/100 renter HHs)2006: 135 filings (21.13/100 renter HHs)2012: 60 filings (7.83/100 renter HHs)2013: 70 filings (9.14/100 renter HHs)2014: 52 filings (6.79/100 renter HHs)2015: 51 filings (6.66/100 renter HHs)2016: 56 filings (5.79/100 renter HHs)2018: 44 filings (4.55/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 11 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Washington Village

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elyria eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lorain County average of 5.3 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39093070902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093070902?

Census tract 39093070902 in the Washington Village neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 39093070902?

Median gross rent is $869/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 39093070902?

15.0% of residents in tract 39093070902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,636.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 39093070902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 85th, minority 61th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 39093070902 considered part of Washington Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093070902 fall within Washington Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39093070902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 827 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 39093070902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.23% of renter households, peaking at 21.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 39093070902 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 39093070902 compare to Elyria overall?

Tract 39093070902 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Elyria at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elyria eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elyria

Top eight tracts in Elyria ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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