Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Martin's Run Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lorain
Tract 39093097202 ·
Lorain County, OH · pop 5,454 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 39093097202 covers part of the Martin's Run area of Lorain, OH, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,454 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%Stable renters 16%Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,230
Renter share25.6%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$80,211
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Martin's Run
Moderate
Within parent city
15th percentile
#18 of 21 tracts In Lorain
Very Low
Within county
65th percentile
#28 of 79 tracts In Lorain County
Elevated
Within state
67th percentile
#1,036 of 3,162 tracts In Ohio
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lorain and the region
Centroid at 41.4290, -82.2207 · click any tract to drill in
Why Martin's Run scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lorain
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,088 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lorain
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lorain
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lorain
8.0
How Martin's Run compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
30%Socioeconomic
75%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.8%Housing insecurity
8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
14.1%Food insecurity
11.0%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
9.4%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
32.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Martin's Run
19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8/10.
At $1,088 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Lorain commands. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.1/10.
Against the Lorain County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $80,211, annual rent is just 16%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
39% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 39093097202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39093097202?
Census tract 39093097202 in the Martin's Run neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39093097202?
Median gross rent is $1,088/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39093097202?
15.4% of residents in tract 39093097202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,454.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39093097202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 75th, minority 54th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 39093097202 considered part of Martin's Run?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39093097202 fall within Martin's Run (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 39093097202 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 39093097202 compare to Lorain overall?
Tract 39093097202 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Lorain at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lorain eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lorain
Top eight tracts in Lorain ranked by composite eviction-risk score.