Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Old West End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo
Tract 39095002100 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,869 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
39095002100 is a census tract in the Old West End area of Toledo, OH. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,266
Renter share56.4%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate26.0%
Median income$47,417
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toledo and the region
Centroid at 41.6654, -83.5611 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old West End scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toledo
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Ohio legislature & governorship
2.4
Economic stress
26.0% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$634 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toledo
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toledo
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toledo
4.0
How Old West End compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 100%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,099Total filings over 15 yrs
- 9.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.5%Peak (2018)
- 97Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 76% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old West End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.1%Housing insecurity
- 14.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.2%Food insecurity
- 22.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.9%Transit barriers
- 9.7%No health insurance
- 18.5%Frequent mental distress
- 34.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old West End
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Average gross rent is $634, 30% below the Toledo average.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Against the Lucas County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,099 filings here across 15 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 22.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2018 at 14.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Toledo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 39095002100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095002100?
Census tract 39095002100 in the Old West End neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 39095002100?
Median gross rent is $634/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 39095002100?
26.0% of residents in tract 39095002100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,869.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 39095002100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 55th, minority 64th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 39095002100 considered part of Old West End?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095002100 fall within Old West End (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 39095002100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,099 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 39095002100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.27% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 39095002100 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 39095002100 compare to Toledo overall?
Tract 39095002100 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 39095002100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Toledo
Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OH
ONYX
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
River East
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
McComas Village
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Auburn-Delaware
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
ONYX
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
East Toledo
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Warren-Sherman
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OH
Old Towne
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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