Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Old West End Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095001602 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,255 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 39095001602 covers Old West End in Toledo, home to 1,255 residents. For landlords it grades 5.8/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 71% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 67% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,181 a month while the average household earns $70,114 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 8% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units583

Renter share26.2%

SVI overall0.19

Poverty rate15.0%

Median income$70,114

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6743, -83.5598 · click any tract to drill in

Why Old West End scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

15.0% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$1,181 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How Old West End compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
32%Household composition
53%Racial/ethnic minority
1%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
100%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Old West End. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

17.0%Housing insecurity
13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
19.5%Food insecurity
17.3%SNAP enrollment
10.4%Transit barriers
7.6%No health insurance
17.7%Frequent mental distress
30.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Old West End

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 6.2/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 17.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095001602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095001602?

Census tract 39095001602 in the Old West End neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39095001602?

Median gross rent is $1,181/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095001602?

15.0% of residents in tract 39095001602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,255.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095001602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 32th, minority 53th, housing 1th.

Is tract 39095001602 considered part of Old West End?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095001602 fall within Old West End (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095001602 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095001602 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095001602 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39095001602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.