Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

North Towne Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095005704 · Lucas County, OH · pop 2,384 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Tract 39095005704, home to 2,384 residents in North Towne in Toledo, scores 5.7/10 for landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #30,567 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $860 a month against an average household income of $36,853 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 15% Owners 76%

Tract context

Occupied units1,068

Renter share24.3%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate27.7%

Median income$36,853

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.7142, -83.5711 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Towne scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

27.7% poverty · this tract

6.9

Supply constraint

$860 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How North Towne compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

83%Socioeconomic
34%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
62%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
25%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Towne. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.5%Housing insecurity
17.2%Utility-shutoff threat
28.7%Food insecurity
30.4%SNAP enrollment
14.6%Transit barriers
12.1%No health insurance
23.0%Frequent mental distress
40.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Towne

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095005704

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095005704?

Census tract 39095005704 in the North Towne neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39095005704?

Median gross rent is $860/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095005704?

27.7% of residents in tract 39095005704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,384.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095005704?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 34th, minority 35th, housing 62th.

Is tract 39095005704 considered part of North Towne?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095005704 fall within North Towne (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095005704 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095005704 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095005704 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39095005704 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.