Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Heather Downs Eviction Risk: Lower , Toledo

Tract 39095007206 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,653 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 39095007206 sits in the Heather Downs area of Toledo eviction risk, OH, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 1,653 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 1% Owners 99%

Tract context

Occupied units707

Renter share1.4%

SVI overall0.03

Poverty rate8.9%

Median income$87,829

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6047, -83.6370 · click any tract to drill in

Why Heather Downs scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

8.9% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How Heather Downs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

6%Socioeconomic
54%Household composition
22%Racial/ethnic minority
1%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Heather Downs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.3%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
9.2%Food insecurity
7.0%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
5.7%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
25.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Heather Downs

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.2/10. It sits 1.2 points below the Lucas County average of 4.2.

Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 1% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.3/10. Statewide the OH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095007206

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095007206?

Census tract 39095007206 in the Heather Downs neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095007206?

8.9% of residents in tract 39095007206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,653.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095007206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 54th, minority 22th, housing 1th.

Is tract 39095007206 considered part of Heather Downs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095007206 fall within Heather Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095007206 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095007206 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095007206 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Toledo at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.