Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

Warehouse District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Toledo

Tract 39095010600 · Lucas County, OH · pop 1,950 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

In the Warehouse District area of Toledo, census tract 39095010600 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 64% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 31% of renter households, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $431 a month against an average household income of $36,204 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 79% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

5.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 55% Owners 21%

Tract context

Occupied units1,088

Renter share78.7%

SVI overall0.93

Poverty rate57.5%

Median income$36,204

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Toledo and the region

Centroid at 41.6479, -83.5484 · click any tract to drill in

Why Warehouse District scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Toledo

5.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.8

State political climate

Ohio legislature & governorship

2.4

Economic stress

57.5% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$431 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Toledo

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Toledo

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Toledo

4.0

How Warehouse District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

82%Socioeconomic
89%Household composition
81%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
6%Grade C
75%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

29.4%Housing insecurity
26.0%Utility-shutoff threat
39.8%Food insecurity
43.4%SNAP enrollment
21.0%Transit barriers
14.2%No health insurance
23.8%Frequent mental distress
40.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Warehouse District

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Toledo eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Lucas County average of 5.5 and above the Ohio statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 75% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 39095010600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 39095010600?

Census tract 39095010600 in the Warehouse District neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 39095010600?

Median gross rent is $431/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 39095010600?

57.5% of residents in tract 39095010600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,950.

How socially vulnerable is tract 39095010600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 89th, minority 81th, housing 92th.

Is tract 39095010600 considered part of Warehouse District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 39095010600 fall within Warehouse District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 39095010600 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 26.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 39095010600 compare to Toledo overall?

Tract 39095010600 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Toledo at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toledo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 39095010600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 75% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Toledo

Top eight tracts in Toledo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.