Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Nehemiah Homes Eviction Risk: Moderate , Muskogee

Tract 40101000200 · Muskogee County, OK · pop 1,368 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 40101000200 covers part of the Nehemiah Homes area of Muskogee, OK, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,368. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 19% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units678
Renter share54.1%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate40.6%
Median income$25,889

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Nehemiah Homes
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 13 tracts In Muskogee
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 20 tracts In Muskogee County
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#100 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Muskogee and the region

Centroid at 35.7733, -95.3895 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nehemiah Homes scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Muskogee
3.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.3
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
40.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$737 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Muskogee
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Muskogee
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Muskogee
2.5

How Nehemiah Homes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nehemiah Homes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.84.8This tracttract 000200Muskogee: 3.43.4Muskogeeparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nehemiah Homes

65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Muskogee County average of 41.1%. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

SNAP participation runs 42.9% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $25,889 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Housing insecurity runs 26.9% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 1.0 points above the Muskogee County average of 3.8. Average gross rent is $737, 14% below the Muskogee average.

On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OK average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 40101000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40101000200?

Census tract 40101000200 in the Nehemiah Homes neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40101000200?

Median gross rent is $737/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40101000200?

40.6% of residents in tract 40101000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,368.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40101000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 72th, minority 77th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 40101000200 considered part of Nehemiah Homes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40101000200 fall within Nehemiah Homes (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40101000200 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40101000200 compare to Muskogee overall?

Tract 40101000200 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Muskogee at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Muskogee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Muskogee

Top eight tracts in Muskogee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related