Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Branch Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40143007503 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 2,547 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 40143007503 covers part of the Branch Creek area of Broken Arrow, OK, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,547. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 18% Owners 67%

Tract context

Occupied units977

Renter share32.0%

SVI overall0.83

Poverty rate6.1%

Median income$67,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 36.0393, -95.7885 · click any tract to drill in

Why Branch Creek scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Oklahoma legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

6.1% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,286 rent vs county FMR

5.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

2.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Broken Arrow

1.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Broken Arrow

2.0

How Branch Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

78%Socioeconomic
92%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.7%Housing insecurity
9.9%Utility-shutoff threat
16.6%Food insecurity
13.4%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
11.1%No health insurance
19.1%Frequent mental distress
38.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Branch Creek

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Tulsa County average of 40.3%.

It sits 0.7 points below the Tulsa County average of 3.7. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,286, close to the Broken Arrow average.

Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $67,375. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143007503

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007503?

Census tract 40143007503 in the Branch Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 40143007503?

Median gross rent is $1,286/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007503?

6.1% of residents in tract 40143007503 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,547.

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007503?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 92th, minority 56th, housing 67th.

Is tract 40143007503 considered part of Branch Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007503 fall within Branch Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 40143007503 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 40143007503 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40143007503 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.