Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Pine Valley Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow
Tract 40143007529 ·
Tulsa County, OK · pop 3,868 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
40143007529 is a census tract in the Pine Valley Ranch area of Broken Arrow, OK. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,868 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%Stable renters 12%Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,431
Renter share17.9%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$88,363
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Pine Valley Ranch
Moderate
Within parent city
49th percentile
#23 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Moderate
Within county
4th percentile
#199 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
Very Low
Within state
35th percentile
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region
Centroid at 36.0247, -95.8243 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pine Valley Ranch scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,301 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
How Pine Valley Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
17%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.7%Housing insecurity
7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
11.0%Food insecurity
8.1%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
7.3%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
32.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pine Valley Ranch
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 33% here against 40.3% across Tulsa County.
SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $88,363, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,301, close to the Broken Arrow average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 40143007529
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007529?
Census tract 40143007529 in the Pine Valley Ranch neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40143007529?
Median gross rent is $1,301/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007529?
6.7% of residents in tract 40143007529 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,868.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007529?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 58th, minority 35th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 40143007529 considered part of Pine Valley Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007529 fall within Pine Valley Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40143007529 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40143007529 compare to Broken Arrow overall?
Tract 40143007529 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow
Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.