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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Hickory Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow

Tract 40143007533 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 2,867 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 40143007533 covers part of the Hickory Hills area of Broken Arrow, OK, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 5% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,059
Renter share5.0%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$121,118

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Hickory Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#43 of 44 tracts In Broken Arrow
Very Low
Within county
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#202 of 208 tracts In Tulsa County
Very Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#781 of 1,205 tracts In Oklahoma
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region

Centroid at 35.9520, -95.8416 · click any tract to drill in

Why Hickory Hills scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,573 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0

How Hickory Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Hickory Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 007533Broken Arrow: 3.23.2Broken Arrowparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Hickory Hills

The voucher gap is 33.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

At $1,573 a month, rents run 19% over what the rest of Broken Arrow commands. SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 9.1% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $121,118, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 40143007533

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143007533?

Census tract 40143007533 in the Hickory Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 40143007533?

Median gross rent is $1,573/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 40143007533?

2.9% of residents in tract 40143007533 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,867.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 40143007533?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 21th, minority 40th, housing 6th.
Q5

Is tract 40143007533 considered part of Hickory Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143007533 fall within Hickory Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 40143007533 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 40143007533 compare to Broken Arrow overall?

Tract 40143007533 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow

Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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