Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Trinity Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow
Tract 40143009018 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 1,825 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 40143009018 covers part of the Trinity Creek area of Broken Arrow, OK, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,825 residents. 17% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Tulsa County average of 40.3%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units642
Renter share4.7%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$142,895
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region
Centroid at 36.0972, -95.8064 · click any tract to drill in
Why Trinity Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
How Trinity Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Trinity Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 4.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Trinity Creek
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 5% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 40143009018
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143009018?
Census tract 40143009018 in the Trinity Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 40143009018?
2.7% of residents in tract 40143009018 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,825.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 40143009018?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 13th, minority 44th, housing 7th.
Q4
Is tract 40143009018 considered part of Trinity Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143009018 fall within Trinity Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 40143009018 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 40143009018 compare to Broken Arrow overall?
Tract 40143009018 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow
Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OK
Oak Creek Park Extended
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
Oak Creek Park Extended
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
40143007414
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Stonegate
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Oak Grove Addition
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Woodland Trails
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
40143007510
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Hartford Park
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Related