Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Trinity Creek Eviction Risk: Lower , Broken Arrow
Tract 40143009020 · Tulsa County, OK · pop 3,357 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
40143009020 is a census tract in the Trinity Creek area of Broken Arrow, OK. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,357 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 49%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,562
Renter share68.1%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$75,455
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Broken Arrow and the region
Centroid at 36.0818, -95.7881 · click any tract to drill in
Why Trinity Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Oklahoma legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,196 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Broken Arrow
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Broken Arrow
2.0
How Trinity Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Trinity Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.3%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 17.4%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Trinity Creek
Cost burden runs 28% here against 40.3% across Tulsa County. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Against the Tulsa County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. At $1,196 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Broken Arrow commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $75,455.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 40143009020
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 40143009020?
Census tract 40143009020 in the Trinity Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 40143009020?
Median gross rent is $1,196/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 40143009020?
6.2% of residents in tract 40143009020 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,357.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 40143009020?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 33th, minority 62th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 40143009020 considered part of Trinity Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 40143009020 fall within Trinity Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 40143009020 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 40143009020 compare to Broken Arrow overall?
Tract 40143009020 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Broken Arrow at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Broken Arrow eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Broken Arrow
Top eight tracts in Broken Arrow ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OK
Oak Creek Park Extended
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
Oak Creek Park Extended
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OK
40143007414
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Oak Grove Addition
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Stonegate
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Woodland Trails
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
40143007510
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · OK
Hartford Park
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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