Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Southwest Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41017002103 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 7,047 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 41017002103 sits in the Southwest Bend area of Bend eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It is home to 7,047 residents. 15% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Deschutes County average of 45.0%.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,624
Renter share15.5%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate8.6%
Median income$111,552
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bend and the region
Centroid at 44.0174, -121.3415 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southwest Bend scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
8.6% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$2,839 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5
How Southwest Bend compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 22Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southwest Bend. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southwest Bend
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,839 a month, rents run 51% over what the rest of Bend commands. The voucher gap is 70.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.2/10. Running hot, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Deschutes County average of 5.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $111,552.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41017002103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017002103?
Census tract 41017002103 in the Southwest Bend neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41017002103?
Median gross rent is $2,839/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41017002103?
8.6% of residents in tract 41017002103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,047.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41017002103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 50th, minority 8th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 41017002103 considered part of Southwest Bend?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017002103 fall within Southwest Bend (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41017002103 compare to Bend overall?
Tract 41017002103 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bend
Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Larkspur
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Stone Creek
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Orchard District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Rim
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Southeast Bend
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Larkspur
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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