Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Orchard District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bend
Tract 41017001601 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 4,643 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Orchard District neighborhood of Bend anchors census tract 41017001601, which lands at 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 71st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,659 monthly, set against $65,313 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 66% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units2,220
Renter share65.8%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$65,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bend and the region
Centroid at 44.0713, -121.2982 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orchard District scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,659 rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5
How Orchard District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 16%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 167Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Orchard District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orchard District
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bend eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Deschutes County average of 5.4 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 41017001601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017001601?
Census tract 41017001601 in the Orchard District neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41017001601?
Median gross rent is $1,659/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41017001601?
14.0% of residents in tract 41017001601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,643.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41017001601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 16th, minority 19th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 41017001601 considered part of Orchard District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017001601 fall within Orchard District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41017001601 compare to Bend overall?
Tract 41017001601 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bend at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bend
Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Larkspur
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Stone Creek
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
River Rim
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Southeast Bend
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Orchard District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Orchard District
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Larkspur
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · OR
Mountain View
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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