Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Larkspur Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bend
Tract 41017001903 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 6,340 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Tract 41017001903 sits in the Larkspur area of Bend eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. It is home to 6,340 residents. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,724
Renter share49.8%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate11.9%
Median income$85,390
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bend and the region
Centroid at 44.0506, -121.2555 · click any tract to drill in
Why Larkspur scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
11.9% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,020 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5
How Larkspur compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 167Total filings 2020-21
- 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Larkspur. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Larkspur
53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Deschutes County average of 45.0%. The voucher gap is 21.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The score leans hardest on state political climate at 7.2/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.1/10.
It sits 0.9 points above the Deschutes County average of 5.6. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10.
That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $2,020, close to the Bend average. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $85,390.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41017001903
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017001903?
Census tract 41017001903 in the Larkspur neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41017001903?
Median gross rent is $2,020/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41017001903?
11.9% of residents in tract 41017001903 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,340.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41017001903?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 23th, minority 22th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 41017001903 considered part of Larkspur?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017001903 fall within Larkspur (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 41017001903 compare to Bend overall?
Tract 41017001903 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bend
Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Larkspur
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Stone Creek
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Orchard District
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
River Rim
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Southeast Bend
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Orchard District
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Mountain View
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Related