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Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally

Orchard District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Bend

Tract 41017001801 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 4,375 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 41017001801 sits in the Orchard District area of Bend eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 39% Owners 21%
Tract context
Occupied units2,213
Renter share78.5%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$66,138

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Orchard District
Low
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 23 tracts In Bend
Elevated
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 45 tracts In Deschutes County
High
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#406 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bend and the region

Centroid at 44.0600, -121.2786 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orchard District scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,689 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5

How Orchard District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orchard District risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.5This tracttract 0018016.1Bendparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 200Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Orchard District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orchard District

78% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.2/10. Cost burden runs 51% here against 45.0% across Deschutes County.

Against the Deschutes County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.9 points. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7/10.

Average gross rent is $1,689, 10% below the Bend average. On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $66,138.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41017001801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017001801?

Census tract 41017001801 in the Orchard District neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41017001801?

Median gross rent is $1,689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41017001801?

7.3% of residents in tract 41017001801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,375.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41017001801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 32th, minority 20th, housing 100th.
Q5

Is tract 41017001801 considered part of Orchard District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017001801 fall within Orchard District (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 41017001801 compare to Bend overall?

Tract 41017001801 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bend at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bend

Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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