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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Southeast Bend Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41017002002 · Deschutes County, OR · pop 9,173 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.8/10 for census tract 41017002002 reflects conditions in the Southeast Bend neighborhood of Bend, Oregon. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,015 a month against an average household income of $86,157 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 17% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units3,800
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$86,157

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Southeast Bend
Very High
Within parent city
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 23 tracts In Bend
High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 45 tracts In Deschutes County
High
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#608 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bend and the region

Centroid at 44.0215, -121.3005 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southeast Bend scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bend
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,015 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bend
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bend
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bend
6.5

How Southeast Bend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southeast Bend risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 002002Bend: 6.56.5Bendparent cityCounty: 3.63.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 61

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 102Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 5 filings (50.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southeast Bend. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southeast Bend

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 7.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bend eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Deschutes County average of 5.4 and in line with the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 41017002002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41017002002?

Census tract 41017002002 in the Southeast Bend neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41017002002?

Median gross rent is $2,015/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41017002002?

13.2% of residents in tract 41017002002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,173.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41017002002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 47th, minority 47th, housing 77th.
Q5

Is tract 41017002002 considered part of Southeast Bend?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41017002002 fall within Southeast Bend (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 41017002002 compare to Bend overall?

Tract 41017002002 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Bend at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bend eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bend

Top eight tracts in Bend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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