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Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Medford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41029000403 · Jackson County, OR · pop 4,330

Tract 41029000403 sits in Medford eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. Population here is 4,330. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 10% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,785
Renter share22.2%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$101,932

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 22 tracts In Medford
Very Low
Within county
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#41 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
Low
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#761 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Low
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,842 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.3380, -122.8346 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medford scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,721 rent vs county FMR
6.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8

How Medford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medford risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 0004036.3Medfordparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 114Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 3.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.6%Peak (2012)
  • 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 41029000403

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 37Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medford

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.

55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Jackson County average of 46.7%. At $1,721 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Medford commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. The voucher gap is 18.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Jackson County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 114 filings here across 13 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 3.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41029000403

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000403?

Census tract 41029000403 in Medford scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41029000403?

Median gross rent is $1,721/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000403?

7.4% of residents in tract 41029000403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,330.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000403?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 61th, minority 41th, housing 64th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000403?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 114 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 41029000403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.41% of renter households, peaking at 3.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41029000403 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.61× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41029000403 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 41029000403 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Medford at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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