Medford Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41029000403 · Jackson County, OR · pop 4,330
Tract 41029000403 sits in Medford eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5/10. Population here is 4,330. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Medford and the region
Centroid at 42.3380, -122.8346 · click any tract to drill in
Why Medford scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Medford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 114Total filings over 13 yrs
- 3.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.6%Peak (2012)
- 7Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 37Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.61×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Medford
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Jackson County average of 46.7%. At $1,721 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Medford commands.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. The voucher gap is 18.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against the Jackson County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 114 filings here across 13 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 3.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 41029000403
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000403?
What is the average rent in tract 41029000403?
What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000403?
How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000403?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000403?
Did eviction filings in tract 41029000403 drop during COVID?
How does tract 41029000403 compare to Medford overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Medford
Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.