Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Medford Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 41029000404 · Jackson County, OR · pop 5,872
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 41029000404 in Medford, OR reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,872 residents. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,055
Renter share9.4%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$96,990
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
21
th percentile
Low
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Medford and the region
Centroid at 42.3529, -122.8347 · click any tract to drill in
Why Medford scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,375 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8
How Medford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 109Total filings over 14 yrs
- 3.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2008)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 267% over the past 14 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 34Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Medford
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,375, 73% above the Medford average. The voucher gap is 63.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Jackson County average of 46.7%. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10.
Against the Jackson County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. The filing record is not thin: 109 evictions over 14 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2008 at 5.6% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 41029000404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000404?
Census tract 41029000404 in Medford scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41029000404?
Median gross rent is $2,375/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000404?
3.1% of residents in tract 41029000404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,872.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 80th, minority 28th, housing 27th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 109 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029000404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.62% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41029000404 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41029000404 compare to Medford overall?
Tract 41029000404 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Medford at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Medford
Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
7.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41029000800
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Valley Center Mobile Village
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41029000405
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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