Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Medford Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 41029000404 · Jackson County, OR · pop 5,872
Eviction risk in Medford eviction risk centers on tract 41029000404, which scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 5,872 residents. It lands near the 86th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,375 a month against an average household income of $96,990 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 9% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,055
Renter share9.4%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate3.1%
Median income$96,990
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
22
th percentile
Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Medford and the region
Centroid at 42.3529, -122.8347 · click any tract to drill in
Why Medford scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
3.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,375 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8
How Medford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 109Total filings over 14 yrs
- 3.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2008)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 267% over the past 14 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 34Total filings 2020-21
- 0.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Medford
What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Medford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jackson County average of 6.1 and above the Oregon statewide average of 6.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 109 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 3.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.6% of renter households in 2008.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 41029000404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000404?
Census tract 41029000404 in Medford scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41029000404?
Median gross rent is $2,375/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000404?
3.1% of residents in tract 41029000404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,872.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 80th, minority 28th, housing 27th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 41029000404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 109 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 41029000404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.62% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41029000404 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41029000404 compare to Medford overall?
Tract 41029000404 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Medford at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Medford
Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Medford historic districts
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41029000800
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
Valley Center Mobile Village
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · OR
41029000605
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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