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Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Medford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 41029000603 · Jackson County, OR · pop 4,150 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Medford

Tract 41029000603 sits in Medford eviction risk, OR, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.9/10. It is home to 4,150 residents. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Jackson County average of 46.7%.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 5% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,582
Renter share6.8%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$125,150

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 22 tracts In Medford
Very Low
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#44 of 52 tracts In Jackson County
Very Low
Within state
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#787 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Low
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,278 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Medford and the region

Centroid at 42.3253, -122.8074 · click any tract to drill in

Why Medford scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Medford
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,211 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Medford
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Medford
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Medford
6.8

How Medford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Medford risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0006036.3Medfordparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 14Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked South Bend, IN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Medford

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. At $2,211 a month, rents run 61% over what the rest of Medford commands. The voucher gap is 51.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10. Against the Jackson County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points.

That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10. Statewide the OR average is 6.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 41029000603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41029000603?

Census tract 41029000603 in Medford scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41029000603?

Median gross rent is $2,211/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41029000603?

3.5% of residents in tract 41029000603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,150.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41029000603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 42th, minority 48th, housing 20th.
Q5

Did eviction filings in tract 41029000603 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (South Bend eviction risk, IN), 2020-2021.
Q6

How does tract 41029000603 compare to Medford overall?

Tract 41029000603 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Medford at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Medford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Medford

Top eight tracts in Medford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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