Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

University District Eviction Risk: High , Portland

Tract 41051005201 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 2,218 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

With a score of 9.1/10, tract 41051005201 in the University District area of Portland, OR reads high for landlord eviction risk. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 46% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,751
Renter share98.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate23.2%
Median income$46,627

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In University District
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 168 tracts In Portland
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 197 tracts In Multnomah County
High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 994 tracts In Oregon
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 45.5201, -122.6878 · click any tract to drill in

Why University District scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
23.2% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,474 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5

How University District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
University District risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.1This tracttract 0052017.7Portlandparent city7.4Countyavg tract in county6.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 447Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.80×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within University District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in University District

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $46,627 and the ratio lands at 38%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Severe burden reaches 24%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. It sits 1.7 points above the Multnomah County average of 7.4.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $1,474 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Portland commands. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Portland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #3,797 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 41051005201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051005201?

Census tract 41051005201 in the University District neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 41051005201?

Median gross rent is $1,474/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 41051005201?

23.2% of residents in tract 41051005201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,218.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 41051005201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 7th, minority 48th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 41051005201 considered part of University District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051005201 fall within University District (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 41051005201 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 41051005201 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 41051005201 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 41051005201 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 63% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related