Within neighborhood
25
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally
University District Eviction Risk: High , Portland
Tract 41051005602 · Multnomah County, OR · pop 3,281 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi
Census tract 41051005602 covers part of the University District area of Portland, OR, and scores 9.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,281. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units962
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate39.0%
Median income$50,851
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
100
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 45.5111, -122.6844 · click any tract to drill in
Why University District scores 9.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
Oregon legislature & governorship
7.2
Economic stress
39.0% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$1,396 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
8.5
How University District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 62%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 65%Grade C
- 32%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 417Total filings 2020-21
- 5.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Pittsburgh, PA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within University District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in University District
The dominant input is economic stress at 9.7/10. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Multnomah County at 49.7%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, local political climate reads 9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. Set annual rent against average income of $50,851 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. It sits 1.7 points above the Multnomah County average of 7.4.
Average gross rent is $1,396, 16% below the Portland average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 41051005602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 41051005602?
Census tract 41051005602 in the University District neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 41051005602?
Median gross rent is $1,396/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 41051005602?
39.0% of residents in tract 41051005602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,281.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 41051005602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 2th, minority 62th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 41051005602 considered part of University District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 41051005602 fall within University District (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 41051005602 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Pittsburgh, PA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 41051005602 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 41051005602 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of Portland at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 41051005602 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 32% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · OR
Ladd's Addition
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gilbert
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gilbert
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Gateway
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Powellhurst
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · OR
Chinatown
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
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